Colmenar del Arroyo: PP would keep its majority
Colmenar del Arroyo (Madrid, 1,936 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 1,045valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Colmenar del Arroyo
Colmenar del Arroyo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,936 inhabitants, the 116th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 70.1% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 72.5% of the 1,441 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 70.1% → 69.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 8.5% → 14.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.3% → 11.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,045 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.