Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Zarzalejo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Zarzalejo (Madrid, 1,773 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 9%
¡AZ!−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Zarzalejo

Zarzalejo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,773 inhabitants, the 119th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 40.4% of the vote and 4 seats; ¡AZ! was second with 4. 69.5% of the 1,282 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.4% → 38.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. ¡AZ!Local lists 34.7% → 34.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.4% → 13.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 14.5% → 11.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 891 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Zarzalejo in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →