Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fresnedillas de la Oliva: PF would keep its majority

Fresnedillas de la Oliva (Madrid, 1,784 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PF±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 45.7%) Majority 61%
FA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 25.0%) Majority 0%
SF±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PFLocal lists 45.7% → 45.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. FALocal lists 25.0% → 24.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. SFLocal lists 20.7% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.8% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 3.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 1.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 892 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fresnedillas de la Oliva in size, in Madrid

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