Conil de la Frontera: no list would have a majority, UA largest
Conil de la Frontera (Cádiz, 23,497 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 11,473valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Conil de la Frontera
Conil de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 23,497 inhabitants, the 14th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IU ANDALUCIA came first with 27.5% of the vote and 7 seats; UA was second with 5. 62.9% of the 18,234 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UA would be largest on 6 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 23.0% → 25.0% 5 → 6 councillors
- IU ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 27.5% → 23.9% 7 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 19.3% → 19.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- SIEMPRELocal lists 11.1% → 12.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 13.1% → 10.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.1% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,473 valid votes including 137 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.