Los Barrios: no list would have a majority, UA largest
Los Barrios (Cádiz, 24,069 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 10,317valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UA±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 36.2%)
Majority 2%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 24.9%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 17.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
MB±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 36.2% → 37.2% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.9% → 21.4% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 17.1% → 16.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.3% 1 → 3 councillors
- MBLocal lists 8.3% → 8.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,317 valid votes including 132 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.