Los Barrios: no list would have a majority, UA largest
Los Barrios (Cádiz, 24,069 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 10,317valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Los Barrios
Los Barrios is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 24,069 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UA came first with 36.2% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 55.4% of the 18,638 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UA would be largest on 8 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 36.2% → 37.2% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.9% → 21.4% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 17.1% → 16.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.3% 1 → 3 councillors
- MBLocal lists 8.3% → 8.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,317 valid votes including 132 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.