Arcos de la Frontera: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arcos de la Frontera (Cádiz, 30,953 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 15,061valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 35.5% of the vote (2023: 35.8%)
Majority 4%
PSOE-A±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 35.8%)
Majority 2%
AI-PRO±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 14.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 6.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 35.8% → 35.5% 9 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 35.8% → 32.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- AI-PROLocal lists 14.6% → 15.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.0% → 10.1% 0 → 2 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,061 valid votes including 194 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.