Arcos de la Frontera: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arcos de la Frontera (Cádiz, 30,953 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 15,061valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arcos de la Frontera
Arcos de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 30,953 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 35.8% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE-A was second with 8. 59.9% of the 25,140 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 35.8% → 35.5% 9 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 35.8% → 32.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- AI-PROLocal lists 14.6% → 15.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.0% → 10.1% 0 → 2 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,061 valid votes including 194 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.