San Roque: PSOE-A would keep its majority
San Roque (Cádiz, 33,018 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 57%no list with a majority
- 13,278valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
11
councillors (2023: 12) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 46.6%)
Majority 43%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 20.1%)
Majority 0%
SR 100X100±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 5.5%)
Majority 0%
P.I.V.G.+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 4.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 46.6% → 43.0% 12 → 11 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 19.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- SR 100X100Local lists 14.9% → 15.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.5% → 10.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- P.I.V.G.Local lists 4.9% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,278 valid votes including 189 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.