San Roque: PSOE-A would keep its majority
San Roque (Cádiz, 33,018 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 57%no list with a majority
- 13,278valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Roque
San Roque is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 33,018 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 46.6% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 57.8% of the 22,967 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 43% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 46.6% → 43.0% 12 → 11 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 19.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- SR 100X100Local lists 14.9% → 15.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.5% → 10.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- P.I.V.G.Local lists 4.9% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,278 valid votes including 189 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.