España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Chipiona: no list would have a majority, U X CH largest

Chipiona (Cádiz, 19,592 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U X CH±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U X CHLocal lists 33.5% → 34.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 24.2% → 20.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.8% → 17.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 16.7% → 13.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 13.2% → 12.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,981 valid votes including 145 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chipiona in size, in Cádiz

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