Ubrique: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Ubrique (Cádiz, 16,383 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 88%no list with a majority
- 9,370valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 39.1%)
Majority 9%
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 39.4%)
Majority 2%
UA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 13.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 4.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 39.1% → 38.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 39.4% → 35.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- UALocal lists 13.1% → 13.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.5% → 9.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,370 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.