Polls · Next federal election
Abacus Data, 4 November 2026
Abacus Data has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 11 points, 45% to 34%. Since its previous poll (21 October 2026): Liberal −3 (48 → 45), Conservative +2 (32 → 34), Bloc +2 (6 → 8).
| Fieldwork | 30 October 2026 – 4 November 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 8 November 2026 |
| Sample | 1,926 |
| Method | online panel |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Abacus Data post: committed voters, read from the post text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
45 |
 Conservative |
34 |
 NDP |
9 |
 Bloc |
8 |
 Green |
3 |
 PPC |
2 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: NDP 9% against 14%; Conservative 34% against 30%.