Polls · Next federal election
Abacus Data, 21 October 2026
Abacus Data has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 16 points, 48% to 32%. Since its previous poll (13 October 2026): Liberal +2 (46 → 48), Conservative −2 (34 → 32), Bloc −1 (7 → 6).
| Fieldwork | 16 October 2026 – 21 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 25 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,500 |
| Method | online panel |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Abacus Data post: committed voters, read from the post text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
48 |
 Conservative |
32 |
 NDP |
9 |
 Bloc |
6 |
 Green |
3 |
 PPC |
1 |
| Others | 1 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: NDP 9% against 13.5%; Conservative 32% against 29.2%.