Polls · Next federal election
Resolve Strategic, 10 October 2026
Resolve Strategic has Labor ahead of One Nation by 4 points, 29% to 25%. Since its previous poll (12 September 2026): One Nation −2 (27 → 25), Labor +1 (28 → 29), Coalition −1 (24 → 23).
| Fieldwork | 6 October 2026 – 10 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| For | Sydney Morning Herald/The Age |
| Sample | 2,250 |
| Method | Telephone & online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Primary votes as published. For our average we fold independents and minor parties into others, leave out any undecided and rescale to 100; on 2025 preference flows these primaries give Labor 52.0% of the two-party-preferred.
Primary vote
| % | |
|---|---|
Labor |
29 |
One Nation |
25 |
Coalition |
23 |
Greens |
12 |
| Others | 11 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Labor 29% against 26%; One Nation 25% against 28%.



