YouGov poll, 12 October 2026
YouGov, fieldwork to 12 October 2026: Labour 24.5%, 1 points ahead of Conservative on 23.5%, then Reform UK 21.4, Lib Dem 12.2, Green 11.2. Great Britain figures as published, and England's from the pollster's tables, from 2,393 people.
Fieldwork 11 Oct–12 Oct 2026 · sample 2,393 · GB adults
Vote shares
| Party | GB | England |
|---|---|---|
 Conservative |
23.5 | 25.3 |
 Labour |
24.5 | 25.3 |
 Lib Dem |
12.2 | 13.1 |
 Reform UK |
21.4 | 21.2 |
 Restore Britain |
2.0 | 3.0 |
 Green |
11.2 | 11.1 |
| Your Party | 0.0 | 0.0 |
 SNP |
3.1 | 0.0 |
 Plaid Cymru |
1.0 | 0.0 |
| Others | 1.0 | 1.0 |
GB figures: Pollster tables (Grade A).
How the England figure was made
England column in the pollster's own tables.
| Basis | HeadlineEquivalent |
|---|---|
| Rounding | 1pp |
| In the average | Yes Primary (current average) |
| Table | Headline (MRP) |
Checks: ok TOTAL_SUMS_100: Answers in the Total column add up to 100% (expected 100, got 98, tolerance 3); ok ENGLAND_MATCHES_REGIONS: England column agrees with the English regions added up (expected 0, got 0.671, tolerance 2); ok TOTAL_SUMS_100: Answers in the Total column add up to 100% (expected 100, got 101, tolerance 3); ok ENGLAND_MATCHES_REGIONS: England column agrees with the English regions added up (expected 0, got 0.681, tolerance 2); ok S1_BASE_IS_SAMPLE: Weighted sample of the Total column equals the sample size on the first page (expected 2393, got 2393, tolerance 1); ok TOTAL_SUMS_100: Answers in the Total column add up to 100% (expected 100, got 101, tolerance 3); ok ENGLAND_MATCHES_REGIONS: England column agrees with the English regions added up (expected 0, got 0.585, tolerance 2)
Notes
Added from the pollster's tables by the admin page (YouGovReader 1.0). England: England column as printed. | Flags: MRPHeadline
From what people said to the headline
EnglandEach row is one step in turning people's answers into a published figure. Party shares exclude don't knows. The last row is our reading of the same raw answers. How our reading works →
| Step | LAB | CON | REF | LD | GRN | RB | Lab lead over Con | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
What people told the pollster
Everyone asked, weighted to match the population. Don't knows and won't-votes set aside. This is the question naming the parties standing in the respondent's own constituency, which the headline model is built from.
|
26.7 | 22.7 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 0.0 | +4.0 |
|
|
The pollster's published headline
Produced by the pollster's statistical model (MRP), not straight from the answers. Modelled inside YouGov's MRP from demographics and past turnout, not from a stated likelihood to vote. Don't knows are modelled to vote like people who share their demographics and past vote.
|
25.3
-1.4
|
25.3
+2.6
|
21.2
+1.2
|
13.1
-0.2
|
11.1
-2.2
|
3.0
+3.0
|
0.0 |
|
|
Our reading
The raw sample with half the average amount raw samples have missed by since 2015 taken off each party.
|
25.7
-1.0
|
24.6
+2.0
|
19.4
-0.6
|
13.3
-0.1
|
13.1
-0.3
|
0.0 | +1.0 |
|
In the raw sample, don't know 12.0%, would not vote 9.0%, refused 4.0% of those asked in England gave no party. England figures: the pollster's England column. Source: 2026_10_VotingIntention_Results_261012_w.pdf (the pollster's own tables).
Checks made when the tables were read (7 of 7 passed)
- ✓ Headline (MRP): England column agrees with the English regions added up
- ✓ Headline (MRP): Answers in the Total column add up to 100%
- ✓ Constituency question: England column agrees with the English regions added up
- ✓ Constituency question: Weighted sample of the Total column equals the sample size on the first page
- ✓ Constituency question: Answers in the Total column add up to 100%
- ✓ Standard question: England column agrees with the English regions added up
- ✓ Standard question: Answers in the Total column add up to 100%