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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

Camarena: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Camarena (Toledo, 4,283 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 5%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.5% of the vote (2023: 35.9%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Camarena

Camarena is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 4,283 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.4% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 61.6% of the 3,084 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.4% → 37.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.9% → 33.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 19.4% → 27.6% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,900 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Camarena in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →