Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cedillo del Condado: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Cedillo del Condado (Toledo, 4,101 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 18%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 7%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 19.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.5% → 38.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 26.3% → 36.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.6% → 17.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. UCINLocal lists 5.4% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,718 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cedillo del Condado in size, in Toledo

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