Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alameda de la Sagra: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Alameda de la Sagra (Toledo, 3,908 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 48.1%) Majority 38%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 9%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.1% → 44.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.6% → 38.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.5% → 14.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,898 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alameda de la Sagra in size, in Toledo

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