Noblejas: PSOE would keep its majority
Noblejas (Toledo, 3,857 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 61%PSOE majority
- 2,161valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 54.4%)
Majority 61%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 30.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 14.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 54.4% → 48.8% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 30.2% → 28.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 14.1% → 21.3% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,161 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.