Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Cruz del Retamar: PP would keep its majority

Santa Cruz del Retamar (Toledo, 3,682 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.9% of the vote (2023: 59.8%) Majority 97%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.8% → 57.9% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.2% → 24.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 13.1% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 10.2% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,606 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Cruz del Retamar in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →