Escalona: PSOE would keep its majority
Escalona (Toledo, 3,573 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 1,922valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 77.5% of the vote (2023: 81.9%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 11.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 81.9% → 77.5% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 11.4% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 5.2% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,922 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Escalona in size, in Toledo
- La Villa de Don Fadrique3,572 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Navahermosa3,586 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Pantoja3,506 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Burguillos de Toledo3,473 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Cruz del Retamar3,682 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Olalla3,387 inhabitants · 11 councillors