España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Escalona: PSOE would keep its majority

Escalona (Toledo, 3,573 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 77.5% of the vote (2023: 81.9%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Escalona

Escalona is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 3,573 inhabitants, the 55th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 81.9% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 66.5% of the 2,890 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 81.9% → 77.5% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 11.4% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.2% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,922 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Escalona in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →