España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Chozas de Canales: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Chozas de Canales (Toledo, 4,523 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%
+FCC+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 21.5%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
IPC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 32.6% → 27.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.0% → 24.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. +FCCLocal lists 21.5% → 21.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 15.1% → 13.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. IPCLocal lists 7.9% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UCINLocal lists 4.9% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,475 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chozas de Canales in size, in Toledo

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