Cobisa: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Cobisa (Toledo, 4,427 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 2,493valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 40.1%)
Majority 4%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.4% of the vote (2023: 30.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 16.1%)
Majority 0%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 11.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 40.1% → 35.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 30.5% → 29.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 16.1% → 24.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 11.1% → 8.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,493 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.