Camarena: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Camarena (Toledo, 4,283 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 1,900valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 43.4%)
Majority 5%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 33.5% of the vote (2023: 35.9%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 19.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 43.4% → 37.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 35.9% → 33.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 19.4% → 27.6% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,900 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Camarena in size, in Toledo
- Cobisa4,427 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cedillo del Condado4,101 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Cruz de la Zarza4,097 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villaluenga de la Sagra4,081 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Valmojado4,503 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Chozas de Canales4,523 inhabitants · 11 councillors