Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Salou: no list would have a majority, SUMEN PER SALOU -PSC-CP largest

Salou (Tarragona, 29,028 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SUMEN PER SALOU -PSC-CP−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
USAP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Salou

Salou is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 29,028 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 SUMEN PER SALOU -PSC-CP came first with 29.5% of the vote and 8 seats; ERC - AM was second with 4. 46.9% of the 16,966 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: SUMEN PER SALOU -PSC-CP would be largest on 6 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SUMEN PER SALOU -PSC-CPPSOE 29.5% → 24.6% 8 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 16.2% → 19.7% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.7% → 17.8% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. ARA PLLocal lists 9.1% → 9.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 9.9% → 8.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  6. USAPLocal lists 5.2% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 4.6% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CMJunts 4.2% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CNVLocal lists 3.1% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. SECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. VALENTSLocal lists 1.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. APERTGNLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,954 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Salou in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →