Vila-seca: CM would keep its majority
Vila-seca (Tarragona, 22,681 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 73%CM majority
- 8,339valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
12
councillors (2023: 13) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 46.9%)
Majority 73%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 9.8%)
Majority 0%
DV - AM+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
PSC-VST-CP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
VSEC-ECP-C−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 9.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 46.9% → 43.5% 13 → 12 councillors
- VOXVox 9.8% → 16.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- DV - AMERC 7.0% → 9.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSC-VST-CPPSOE 11.7% → 9.1% 3 → 2 councillors
- VSEC-ECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 3.3% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,339 valid votes including 113 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.