Vila-seca: CM would keep its majority
Vila-seca (Tarragona, 22,681 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 73%CM majority
- 8,339valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vila-seca
Vila-seca is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 22,681 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 46.9% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-VST-CP was second with 3. 53.2% of the 15,675 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 46.9% → 43.5% 13 → 12 councillors
- VOXVox 9.8% → 16.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- DV - AMERC 7.0% → 9.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSC-VST-CPPSOE 11.7% → 9.1% 3 → 2 councillors
- VSEC-ECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 3.3% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,339 valid votes including 113 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.