Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cambrils: no list would have a majority, NMC largest

Cambrils (Tarragona, 35,675 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

NMC±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%
CECP-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.7% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. NMCLocal lists 23.7% → 23.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 14.1% → 17.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 12.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CMJunts 11.8% → 10.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 12.8% → 9.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  6. PPPP 8.2% → 6.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  7. AC-ARA PLLocal lists 4.9% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ADNCLocal lists 4.2% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  10. CSCiudadanos 3.6% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. VALENTSLocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,432 valid votes including 237 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cambrils in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →