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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Navarra

Villava/Atarrabia: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Villava/Atarrabia (Navarra, 10,022 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 66%
A-GBAI+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
ZUREKIN CONTIGO−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 34% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Villava/Atarrabia

Villava/Atarrabia is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 10,022 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 42.8% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; A-GBAI was second with 3. 66.9% of the 7,771 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 66% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 42.8% → 46.6% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. A-GBAILocal lists 18.5% → 19.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 12.1% → 12.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 9.3% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSN-PSOEPSOE 8.6% → 6.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. ZUREKIN CONTIGOSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,200 valid votes including 85 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villava/Atarrabia in size, in Navarra

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