Aranguren: CPVA would keep its majority
Aranguren (Navarra, 12,156 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%CPVA majority
- 6,217valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CPVA±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 61.6% of the vote (2023: 59.4%)
Majority over 99%
UPN±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 19.9%)
Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 6.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CPVALocal lists 59.4% → 61.6% 11 → 11 councillors
- UPNUPN 19.9% → 20.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 8.1% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 6.3% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 4.7% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,217 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Aranguren in size, in Navarra
- Berriozar10,765 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Ansoáin/Antsoain10,588 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Tafalla10,576 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Estella-Lizarra13,977 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Villava/Atarrabia10,022 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Zizur Mayor/Zizur Nagusia15,497 inhabitants · 17 councillors