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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Navarra

Tafalla: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Tafalla (Navarra, 10,576 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 33.6% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 2%
UPN±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 23.4%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
INPORT+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO ZUREKIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
GBAI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Tafalla

Tafalla is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 10,576 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 30.5% of the vote and 6 seats; UPN was second with 4. 66.5% of the 8,140 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 30.5% → 33.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 23.4% → 25.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 19.3% → 16.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. INPORTLocal lists 9.6% → 10.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CONTIGO ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 6.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. GBAILocal lists 5.4% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. PPPP 2.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,413 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tafalla in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →