Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar): no list would have a majority, UPN largest
Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar) (Navarra, 8,367 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 3,649valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPN±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 32.2%)
Majority 6%
AE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 18.3%)
Majority 0%
AINE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 18.2%)
Majority 0%
SV±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 10.4%)
Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPNUPN 32.2% → 34.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- AELocal lists 18.3% → 19.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- AINELocal lists 18.2% → 19.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- SVLocal lists 10.4% → 11.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,649 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.