Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar): no list would have a majority, UPN largest
Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar) (Navarra, 8,367 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 3,649valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar)
Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar) is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 8,367 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UPN came first with 32.2% of the vote and 5 seats; AE was second with 3. 63.5% of the 5,748 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UPN would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPNUPN 32.2% → 34.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- AELocal lists 18.3% → 19.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- AINELocal lists 18.2% → 19.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- SVLocal lists 10.4% → 11.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,649 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.