Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Altsasu/Alsasua: GBAI would keep its majority

Altsasu/Alsasua (Navarra, 7,504 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

GBAI±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 61.7% of the vote (2023: 60.0%) Majority over 99%
EH BILDU±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. GBAILocal lists 60.0% → 61.7% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 27.6% → 29.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. CONTIGO ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 2.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,487 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Altsasu/Alsasua in size, in Navarra

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