Altsasu/Alsasua: GBAI would keep its majority
Altsasu/Alsasua (Navarra, 7,504 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%GBAI majority
- 3,487valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Altsasu/Alsasua
Altsasu/Alsasua is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 7,504 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 GBAI came first with 60% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 4. 61.3% of the 5,686 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps GBAI on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- GBAILocal lists 60.0% → 61.7% 9 → 9 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 27.6% → 29.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- UPNUPN 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGO ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,487 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Altsasu/Alsasua in size, in Navarra
- Berrioplano/Berriobeiti7,453 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Huarte/Uharte7,312 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Baztan7,851 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Cintruénigo8,106 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Corella8,336 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar)8,367 inhabitants · 13 councillors