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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Navarra

Tudela: UPN would keep its majority

Tudela (Navarra, 37,247 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 45.5% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 61%
PODEMOS + IZQUIERDA UNIDA + BATZARRE + ALIANZA VER−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 14.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Tudela

Tudela is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 37,247 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPN came first with 43.3% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PODEMOS + IZQUIERDA UNIDA + BATZARRE + ALIANZA VER was second with 6. 66.6% of the 25,743 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UPN on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 43.3% → 45.5% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PODEMOS + IZQUIERDA UNIDA + BATZARRE + ALIANZA VERSumar, Podemos and allies 24.4% → 20.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 14.0% → 11.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.9% → 10.0% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 7.5% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. EH BILDUEH Bildu 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. GEROA BAILocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,153 valid votes including 205 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tudela in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →