Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pamplona/Iruña: no list would have a majority, UNION DEL PUEBLO NAVARRO largest

Pamplona/Iruña (Navarra, 203,418 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UNION DEL PUEBLO NAVARRO±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 30.3%) Majority 1%
EH BILDU+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 28.8% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−2
3 councillors (2023: 5) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 15.6%) Majority 0%
GBAI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.9%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO-ZUREKIN−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.9% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Pamplona/Iruña

Pamplona/Iruña is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 203,418 inhabitants, the largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UNION DEL PUEBLO NAVARRO came first with 30.3% of the vote and 9 seats; EH BILDU was second with 8. 66.1% of the 153,275 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UNION DEL PUEBLO NAVARRO would be largest on 9 of 27.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UNION DEL PUEBLO NAVARROUPN 30.3% → 31.0% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 27.4% → 28.8% 8 → 9 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 15.6% → 12.5% 5 → 3 councillors
  4. GBAILocal lists 7.6% → 7.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 8.4% → 7.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. VOXVox 2.9% → 7.1% 0 → 2 councillors
  7. CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. PUM+JLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. EB-AZLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 101,278 valid votes including 1,167 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pamplona/Iruña in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →