Tudela: UPN would keep its majority
Tudela (Navarra, 37,247 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 61%UPN majority
- 17,153valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPN±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 45.5% of the vote (2023: 43.3%)
Majority 61%
PODEMOS + IZQUIERDA UNIDA + BATZARRE + ALIANZA VER−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 24.4%)
Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 14.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPNUPN 43.3% → 45.5% 11 → 11 councillors
- PODEMOS + IZQUIERDA UNIDA + BATZARRE + ALIANZA VERSumar, Podemos and allies 24.4% → 20.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 14.0% → 11.3% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.9% → 10.0% 0 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 7.5% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- GEROA BAILocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,153 valid votes including 205 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Tudela in size, in Navarra
- Valle de Egüés/Eguesibar21,795 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Burlada/Burlata20,398 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Barañain19,537 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Zizur Mayor/Zizur Nagusia15,497 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Estella-Lizarra13,977 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Aranguren12,156 inhabitants · 17 councillors