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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Navarra

Barañain: no list would have a majority, UPN largest

Barañain (Navarra, 19,537 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 31.4%) Majority 1%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
GBAI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO-ZUREKIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Barañain

Barañain is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 19,537 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPN came first with 31.4% of the vote and 6 seats; EH BILDU was second with 4. 65.3% of the 15,045 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UPN would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 31.4% → 33.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 22.2% → 24.6% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 19.9% → 17.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. GBAILocal lists 8.4% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 6.9% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,819 valid votes including 189 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Barañain in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →