Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ansoáin/Antsoain: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Ansoáin/Antsoain (Navarra, 10,588 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 35.7%) Majority 17%
PSN-PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 0%
UPN+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO-ZUREKIN−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
GBAI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ansoáin/Antsoain

Ansoáin/Antsoain is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 10,588 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 35.7% of the vote and 7 seats; PSN-PSOE was second with 6. 65.7% of the 8,045 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 35.7% → 39.8% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 31.6% → 29.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 10.0% → 10.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 8.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. GBAILocal lists 6.4% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,282 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ansoáin/Antsoain in size, in Navarra

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