Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torremolinos: PP would keep its majority

Torremolinos (Málaga, 68,819 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
17 councillors (2023: 17) · 56.7% of the vote (2023: 57.4%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 18.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torremolinos

Torremolinos is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 68,819 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 57.4% of the vote and 17 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 53.8% of the 46,936 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 17 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.4% → 56.7% 17 → 17 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 18.4% → 15.3% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.2% → 14.2% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. UPTLocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. TÚPALocal lists 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. S.M.T.Local lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 25,236 valid votes including 333 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torremolinos in size, in Málaga

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