Ronda: PP would keep its majority
Ronda (Málaga, 33,401 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 63%PP majority
- 15,654valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ronda
Ronda is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 33,401 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 45.2% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 8. 57.6% of the 27,156 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 63% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.2% → 45.1% 12 → 11 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.6% → 29.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.7% 0 → 2 councillors
- IRONDALocal lists 5.0% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- RONDA 100X100Local lists 4.6% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
- A.P.R.Local lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,654 valid votes including 224 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.