Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alhaurín el Grande: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alhaurín el Grande (Málaga, 26,436 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 40.1%) Majority 9%
100% ALHAURÍN±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.1% → 39.1% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. 100% ALHAURÍNLocal lists 26.8% → 27.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.9% → 13.7% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOE-APSOE 15.5% → 12.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 5.9% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,682 valid votes including 118 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alhaurín el Grande in size, in Málaga

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