Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cártama: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Cártama (Málaga, 27,712 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−2
9 councillors (2023: 11) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 46.6%) Majority 26%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 28.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
CS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 46.6% → 42.8% 11 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.1% → 27.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.5% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 12.6% → 13.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,767 valid votes including 137 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cártama in size, in Málaga

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