Nerja: PP would keep its majority
Nerja (Málaga, 21,450 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 7,899valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
12
councillors (2023: 12) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 51.1%)
Majority 91%
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 28.8% of the vote (2023: 31.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 3.4%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.1% → 51.4% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.8% → 28.8% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 3.4% → 8.1% 0 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- UPNERLocal lists 3.8% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,899 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.