Nerja: PP would keep its majority
Nerja (Málaga, 21,450 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 7,899valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Nerja
Nerja is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 21,450 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 51.1% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 8. 54.5% of the 14,486 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.1% → 51.4% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.8% → 28.8% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 3.4% → 8.1% 0 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- UPNERLocal lists 3.8% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,899 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.