Ronda: PP would keep its majority
Ronda (Málaga, 33,401 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 63%PP majority
- 15,654valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
11
councillors (2023: 12) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 45.2%)
Majority 63%
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 32.6%)
Majority 1%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 4.7%)
Majority 0%
IRONDA+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.2% → 45.1% 12 → 11 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.6% → 29.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.7% 0 → 2 councillors
- IRONDALocal lists 5.0% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- RONDA 100X100Local lists 4.6% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
- A.P.R.Local lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,654 valid votes including 224 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.