Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fuente el Saz de Jarama: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Fuente el Saz de Jarama (Madrid, 7,034 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%
JXFS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fuente el Saz de Jarama

Fuente el Saz de Jarama is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 7,034 inhabitants, the 72nd largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 40.7% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 66.5% of the 4,872 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.7% → 38.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.3% → 24.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 23.5% → 19.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. JXFSLocal lists 12.8% → 13.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,241 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuente el Saz de Jarama in size, in Madrid

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